Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:05 PM, 275 voters in 33 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 221,933 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 181,799 - 235,813). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 2:05 PM 3164 c(2.5% = 2830) c(97.5% = 3476)
02 2:05 PM 4940 c(2.5% = 4378) c(97.5% = 5475)
03 2:05 PM 2985 c(2.5% = 2386) c(97.5% = 3382)
04 2:05 PM 2952 c(2.5% = 2235) c(97.5% = 3346)
05 2:05 PM 7144 c(2.5% = 6372) c(97.5% = 8024)
06 2:05 PM 1991 c(2.5% = 1594) c(97.5% = 2174)
07 2:05 PM 1832 c(2.5% = 1210) c(97.5% = 2147)
08 2:05 PM 6637 c(2.5% = 5964) c(97.5% = 7559)
09 2:05 PM 3380 c(2.5% = 2854) c(97.5% = 3921)
10 2:05 PM 4371 c(2.5% = 3331) c(97.5% = 4948)
11 2:05 PM 1899 c(2.5% = 1422) c(97.5% = 2216)
12 2:05 PM 3252 c(2.5% = 2576) c(97.5% = 3614)
13 2:05 PM 2939 c(2.5% = 2333) c(97.5% = 3335)
14 2:05 PM 1269 c(2.5% = 1032) c(97.5% = 1380)
15 2:05 PM 3562 c(2.5% = 3102) c(97.5% = 3990)
16 2:05 PM 1573 c(2.5% = 1146) c(97.5% = 1852)
17 2:05 PM 3610 c(2.5% = 2896) c(97.5% = 4095)
18 2:05 PM 3030 c(2.5% = 2524) c(97.5% = 3388)
19 2:05 PM 1487 c(2.5% = 1053) c(97.5% = 1655)
20 2:05 PM 1369 c(2.5% = 1090) c(97.5% = 1538)
21 2:05 PM 7874 c(2.5% = 6842) c(97.5% = 8662)
22 2:05 PM 4628 c(2.5% = 3572) c(97.5% = 5310)
23 2:05 PM 2594 c(2.5% = 2088) c(97.5% = 2826)
24 2:05 PM 2159 c(2.5% = 1780) c(97.5% = 2402)
25 2:05 PM 2061 c(2.5% = 1567) c(97.5% = 2417)
26 2:05 PM 3074 c(2.5% = 2519) c(97.5% = 3298)
27 2:05 PM 3337 c(2.5% = 2191) c(97.5% = 4549)
28 2:05 PM 1687 c(2.5% = 1211) c(97.5% = 2001)
29 2:05 PM 1666 c(2.5% = 1399) c(97.5% = 1818)
30 2:05 PM 3154 c(2.5% = 2624) c(97.5% = 3563)
31 2:05 PM 2651 c(2.5% = 2123) c(97.5% = 3010)
32 2:05 PM 2741 c(2.5% = 2023) c(97.5% = 3090)
33 2:05 PM 2124 c(2.5% = 1453) c(97.5% = 2496)
34 2:05 PM 6097 c(2.5% = 4959) c(97.5% = 6661)
35 2:05 PM 3941 c(2.5% = 3132) c(97.5% = 4360)
36 2:05 PM 4949 c(2.5% = 4129) c(97.5% = 5281)
37 2:05 PM 1768 c(2.5% = 1299) c(97.5% = 2037)
38 2:05 PM 2992 c(2.5% = 2587) c(97.5% = 3229)
39 2:05 PM 5879 c(2.5% = 5125) c(97.5% = 6405)
40 2:05 PM 6138 c(2.5% = 4799) c(97.5% = 6557)
41 2:05 PM 2379 c(2.5% = 1818) c(97.5% = 2713)
42 2:05 PM 3031 c(2.5% = 2321) c(97.5% = 3336)
43 2:05 PM 2405 c(2.5% = 1754) c(97.5% = 2666)
44 2:05 PM 1981 c(2.5% = 1494) c(97.5% = 2240)
45 2:05 PM 2624 c(2.5% = 2048) c(97.5% = 3018)
46 2:05 PM 3749 c(2.5% = 3139) c(97.5% = 4188)
47 2:05 PM 1166 c(2.5% = 934) c(97.5% = 1244)
48 2:05 PM 2710 c(2.5% = 2185) c(97.5% = 2911)
49 2:05 PM 3556 c(2.5% = 2761) c(97.5% = 3862)
50 2:05 PM 5129 c(2.5% = 3915) c(97.5% = 5922)
51 2:05 PM 3209 c(2.5% = 2573) c(97.5% = 3620)
52 2:05 PM 4011 c(2.5% = 3205) c(97.5% = 4576)
53 2:05 PM 2658 c(2.5% = 2080) c(97.5% = 2978)
54 2:05 PM 1867 c(2.5% = 1337) c(97.5% = 2233)
55 2:05 PM 3090 c(2.5% = 2360) c(97.5% = 3557)
56 2:05 PM 4496 c(2.5% = 3571) c(97.5% = 5087)
57 2:05 PM 3896 c(2.5% = 3199) c(97.5% = 4311)
58 2:05 PM 6434 c(2.5% = 5163) c(97.5% = 7277)
59 2:05 PM 3463 c(2.5% = 2777) c(97.5% = 3797)
60 2:05 PM 2763 c(2.5% = 2233) c(97.5% = 3077)
61 2:05 PM 4096 c(2.5% = 3136) c(97.5% = 4363)
62 2:05 PM 2847 c(2.5% = 2126) c(97.5% = 3273)
63 2:05 PM 3752 c(2.5% = 3194) c(97.5% = 4092)
64 2:05 PM 2118 c(2.5% = 1675) c(97.5% = 2396)
65 2:05 PM 3114 c(2.5% = 2590) c(97.5% = 3403)
66 2:05 PM 6488 c(2.5% = 5374) c(97.5% = 7100)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions